FZNT01 KWBC 152222 HSFAT1 HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 2230 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023 CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOE+AOW/NWS/CCODE SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP (ALL LOWERCASE). FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS N OF 31N WILL BE LIMITED TO WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 12 FEET OR GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, AND VOLCANIC ASH. LESSER CONDITIONS WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE. SEND FEEDBACK VIA HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/CONTACT/INDEX.PHP (ALL LOWERCASE). SECURITE NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING ... .HURRICANE LEE NEAR 37.9N 66.7W 965 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15 MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE ...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 440 NM NE QUADRANT ...480 NM SE QUADRANT ...580 NM SW QUADRANT ...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 45N BETWEEN 52W AND 81W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LEE NEAR 43.5N 66.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT ...250 NM SE QUADRANT ...220 NM SW QUADRANT ...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE ...660 NM SE ...600 NM S ...AND 180 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 50N BETWEEN 50W AND 81W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE NEAR 46.2N 64.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE NEAR 49.0N 60.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE ...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND E ...300 NM SE ...360 NM S ...AND 60 NM W AND N QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 41N TO 55N BETWEEN 41W AND 65W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE NEAR 53.9N 47.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK ...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY ...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST ...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK ...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ... .TROPICAL STORM MARGOT NEAR 36.0N 37.9W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 260 NM NE QUADRANT ...140 NM SE QUADRANT ...100 NM SW QUADRANT ...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 380 NM NE QUADRANT ...220 NM SE QUADRANT ...260 NM SW QUADRANT ...AND 400 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 47N BETWEEN 35W AND 52W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARGOT NEAR 34.8N 39.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT ...140 NM SE QUADRANT ...120 NM SW QUADRANT ...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE ...180 NM SE ...180 NM SW ...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 44N BETWEEN 35W AND 50W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARGOT NEAR 35.2N 42.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE ...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE ...AND 300 NM NW AND W QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 41N BETWEEN 35W AND 64W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARGOT NEAR 37.9N 41.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK ...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY ...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARGOT NEAR 39.2N 36.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARGOT NEAR 39.0N 31.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK ...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...STORM WARNING ... .COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 57N52W 995 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. WITHIN 600 NM E AND 240 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 48N TO 62N BETWEEN 35W AND 62W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N37W 986 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 64N33W 975 MB. N OF 64N E OF 37W WINDS 50 TO 60 KT. SEAS 19 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 480 NM SE ...AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO 24 FT. ALSO N OF 47N E OF 40W ...N OF A LINE FROM 53N40W TO 59N53W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 60N27W 979 MB. N OF 62N E OF GREENLAND WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 52N35W TO 61N50W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 21 FT ...HIGHEST SEAS WITHIN 240 NM SW AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS. ...GALE WARNING ... .EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED WITH HURRICANE LEE ...FROM 38N TO 41N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY HURRICANE LEE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 64N BETWEEN 45W AND 53W ....FROM 43N TO 48N BETWEEN 53W AND 61W ...AND N OF 66N W OF 57W. .24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 62N E OF 39W ...N OF 64N BETWEEN 54W AND 60W ...AND FROM 45N TO 49N BETWEEN 46W AND 67W. .48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 56N BETWEEN 46W AND 61W. .FORECASTER EHRBAR. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 17. .WARNINGS. ...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN NEAR 15.4N 44.0W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 17N42W TO 17N44W TO 16N45W TO 14N45W TO 14N43W TO 14N42W TO 17N42W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N36W TO 26N43W TO 26N46W TO 22N48W TO 13N45W TO 15N38W TO 21N36W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN NEAR 18.5N 46.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N43W TO 23N48W TO 21N50W TO 17N48W TO 17N47W TO 19N44W TO 21N43W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N40W TO 25N42W TO 26N49W TO 24N51W TO 16N48W TO 16N42W TO 22N40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN NEAR 22.0N 50.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N47W TO 26N52W TO 25N54W TO 20N53W TO 19N49W TO 20N46W TO 26N47W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 31N39W TO 26N48W TO 28N55W TO 18N53W TO 18N46W TO 22N41W TO 31N39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN NEAR 23.6N 51.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN NEAR 25.1N 53.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN NEAR 28.0N 57.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN NEAR 32.0N 59.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .ATLC HURRICANE LEE AND TROPICAL STORM MARGOT WELL N OF AREA. WITHIN 31N36W TO 31N81W TO 20N70W TO 24N47W TO 31N36W... INCLUDING ATLANTIC EXPOSURES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN NW TO N SWELL...EXCEPT N TO NE SWELL W OF 70W...HIGHEST NEAR 31N65W. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N35W TO 30N79W TO 25N71W TO 29N60W TO 30N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N41W. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N56W TO 31N62W TO 30N67W TO 26N73W TO 22N70W TO 22N64W TO 27N56W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. .CARIBBEAN WITHIN 13N69W TO 13N73W TO 12N73W TO 12N71W TO 11N71W TO 11N68W TO 13N69W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. $$